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Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Google 47%

xAI 15%

OpenAI 11%

Baidu 7.5%

$24,003 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$24,003
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Google 47%

xAI 15%

OpenAI 11%

Baidu 7.5%

$24,003 Vol.

Market icon

Google

$4,071 Vol.

47%

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xAI

$1,608 Vol.

15%

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OpenAI

$3,717 Vol.

11%

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Baidu

$1,157 Vol.

8%

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Anthropic

$1,899 Vol.

7%

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DeepSeek

$3,518 Vol.

5%

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Meituan

$2,458 Vol.

3%

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Mistral

$1,670 Vol.

3%

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Moonshot

$1,150 Vol.

2%

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Alibaba

$1,289 Vol.

2%

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Z.ai

$1,466 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$24,003
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ET

Beware of external links.