Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$542,525 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
xAI
$156,455 Vol.
37%
xAI
$156,455 Vol.
37%
OpenAI
$234,576 Vol.
22%
OpenAI
$234,576 Vol.
22%
Anthropic
$140,970 Vol.
21%
Anthropic
$140,970 Vol.
21%
Mistral
$102 Vol.
20%
Mistral
$102 Vol.
20%
Z.ai
$1,580 Vol.
14%
Z.ai
$1,580 Vol.
14%
Alibaba
$236 Vol.
13%
Alibaba
$236 Vol.
13%
Baidu
$671 Vol.
20%
Baidu
$671 Vol.
20%
Meituan
$1,207 Vol.
13%
Meituan
$1,207 Vol.
13%
DeepSeek
$2,915 Vol.
12%
DeepSeek
$2,915 Vol.
12%
Meta
$1,281 Vol.
9%
Meta
$1,281 Vol.
9%
Nvidia
$2,533 Vol.
6%
Nvidia
$2,533 Vol.
6%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Created At: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$542,525End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$542,525 Vol.
xAI
$156,455 Vol.
37%
OpenAI
$234,576 Vol.
22%
Anthropic
$140,970 Vol.
21%
Mistral
$102 Vol.
20%
Z.ai
$1,580 Vol.
14%
Alibaba
$236 Vol.
13%
Baidu
$671 Vol.
20%
Meituan
$1,207 Vol.
13%
DeepSeek
$2,915 Vol.
12%
Meta
$1,281 Vol.
9%
Nvidia
$2,533 Vol.
6%
About
Volume
$542,525End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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