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Global Elections Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Politics

All Trump Epstein Venezuela Midterms Primaries Minnesota Unrest US Election Trade War Congress Global Elections NYC Mayor Ukraine Mayoral Elections Courts Gaza Israel Cabinet Senate

Politics

All Trump Epstein Venezuela Midterms Primaries Minnesota Unrest US Election Trade War Congress Global Elections NYC Mayor Ukraine Mayoral Elections Courts Gaza Israel Cabinet Senate

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

35%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9%

Gavin Newsom

35%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9%

$548m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

20%

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

20%

$220m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

51%

Marco Rubio

16%

J.D. Vance

51%

Marco Rubio

16%

$213m Vol.

Thailand Legislative Election Winner card icon

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

People’s Party (PPLE)

61%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

36%

People’s Party (PPLE)

61%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

36%

$3m Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government? card icon

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

VVD + CDA + D66

98%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

1%

VVD + CDA + D66

98%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

1%

$29m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

97%

André Ventura (CH)

3%

António José Seguro (IND)

97%

André Ventura (CH)

3%

$125m Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

53%

Flávio Bolsonaro

26%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

53%

Flávio Bolsonaro

26%

$14m Vol.

Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella

28%

Édouard Philippe

15%

Jordan Bardella

28%

Édouard Philippe

15%

$3m Vol.

Next President of Vietnam card icon

Next President of Vietnam

Tô Lâm

92%

Phan Văn Giang

7%

Tô Lâm

92%

Phan Văn Giang

7%

$4m Vol.

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election? card icon

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Sanae Takaichi

94%

Yoshihiko Noda

2%

Sanae Takaichi

94%

Yoshihiko Noda

2%

$689k Vol.

Costa Rica Presidential Election card icon

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

93%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

5%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

93%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

5%

$2m Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Hungary card icon

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar

51%

Viktor Orbán

47%

Péter Magyar

51%

Viktor Orbán

47%

$6m Vol.

Monthly

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner card icon

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

73%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

26%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

73%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

26%

$340k Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam card icon

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Lê Minh Hưng

97%

Phạm Minh Chính

<1%

Lê Minh Hưng

97%

Phạm Minh Chính

<1%

$1m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round card icon

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Seguro 50%+

5%

Seguro 40-50%

20%

Seguro 50%+

5%

Seguro 40-50%

20%

$345k Vol.

Japan General Election Winner? card icon

Japan General Election Winner?

LDP

96%

CRA

4%

LDP

96%

CRA

4%

$467k Vol.

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner card icon

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

TISZA

59%

Fidesz

40%

TISZA

59%

Fidesz

40%

$362k Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Thailand card icon

Next Prime Minister of Thailand

Anutin Charnvirakul

77%

Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut

18%

Anutin Charnvirakul

77%

Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut

18%

$216k Vol.

Paris Mayoral Election card icon

Paris Mayoral Election

Emmanuel Grégoire

55%

Rachida Dati

38%

Emmanuel Grégoire

55%

Rachida Dati

38%

$2m Vol.

Colombia Presidential Election card icon

Colombia Presidential Election

Iván Cepeda Castro

40%

Abelardo de la Espriella

36%

Iván Cepeda Castro

40%

Abelardo de la Espriella

36%

$3m Vol.

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Popular Global Elections markets

Japan General Election 2nd Place?Which party will win the House in 2026?Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which parties will lose seats in Japanese snap election?Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner Aragon Regional Election Winner Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner Nepal House of Representatives Election Winner Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner Rhineland-Palatinate Parliamentary Election Winner Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Quebec General Election Winner Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Peru Presidential Election Winner Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

New Global Elections markets

Governing Parties after Japanese snap election?Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Margin of Victory Gorton and Denton by-election Winner Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?Thailand Legislative Election 3rd Place Thailand Legislative Election 2nd Place # of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?# of seats won by BJT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?# of seats won by PPLE in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election?Which parties will lose seats in Japanese snap election?# of JIP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?# of DPFP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?# of CRA seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?# of LDP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?How many seats will Partido Popular win in the Aragon election?How many seats will Partido Popular win in the Castilla y Leon election?Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round Japan General Election 2nd Place?

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