Politics

Silver (SI) above ___ end of January?

$120

20%

$110

69%

$120

20%

$110

69%

$478k Vol.

Monthly

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

<$100b

80%

$100–200b

<$100b

80%

$100–200b

$3m Vol.

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...?

January 31

<1%

February 20

22%

January 31

<1%

February 20

22%

$512k Vol.

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

chance

$735k Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

31%

chance

$4m Vol.

Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?

France

Finland

France

Finland

$350k Vol.

How many SCOTUS justices rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$107k Vol.

Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

chance

$193k Vol.

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

$140

29%

$120

40%

$140

29%

$120

40%

$68k Vol.

Monthly

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

13%

chance

$24k Vol.

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

chance

$1m Vol.

Asked by

Jason Calacanis

Will Trump visit China by...?

March 31, 2026

April 30, 2026

82%

March 31, 2026

April 30, 2026

82%

$980k Vol.

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Canada

39%

Mexico

32%

Canada

39%

Mexico

32%

$156k Vol.

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

87%

chance

NEW

Daily

Trade War Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Politics

Politics