Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

Name: Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
Start: 2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z

VVD + CDA + D66 98.3%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66 <1%

GL/PvdA + VVD + D66 <1%

GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA <1%

$31,126,684 Vol.

Oct 31, 2026

VVD + CDA + D66
$921,990 Vol.
98%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$818,549 Vol.
1%

GL/PvdA + VVD + D66
$946,177 Vol.
<1%

GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
$566,242 Vol.
<1%

Other
$936,133 Vol.
<1%

CDA + D66
$359,481 Vol.
<1%

No Coalition by October 31
$540,085 Vol.
<1%

PVV + JA21
$72,042 Vol.
<1%

PVV + VVD + JA21
$205,329 Vol.
<1%

PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66
$720,786 Vol.
<1%

PVV + VVD
$2,546,194 Vol.
<1%

PVV + CDA
$1,860,576 Vol.
<1%

PVV + VVD + D66
$777,720 Vol.
<1%

PVV + CDA + JA21
$1,883,804 Vol.
<1%

PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21
$1,111,896 Vol.
<1%

PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$666,213 Vol.
<1%

PVV + VVD + CDA
$460,169 Vol.
<1%

PVV + CDA + D66
$52,887 Vol.
<1%

PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
$1,177,442 Vol.
<1%

VVD + JA21
$226,074 Vol.
<1%

VVD + D66
$204,125 Vol.
<1%

GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$300,588 Vol.
<1%

PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66
$5,793,170 Vol.
<1%

GL/PvdA + D66
$34,658 Vol.
<1%

VVD + CDA + JA21
$241,157 Vol.
<1%

VVD + CDA
$3,880,772 Vol.
<1%

GL/PvdA + VVD
$181,223 Vol.
<1%

PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$2,633,953 Vol.
<1%

GL/PvdA + CDA
$611,253 Vol.
<1%

GL/PvdA
$394,955 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election. If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31". A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances. The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered. Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. For example: If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”. If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No". If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”. In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.

Beware of external links.

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

VVD + CDA + D66 98.3%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66 <1%

GL/PvdA + VVD + D66 <1%

GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA <1%

$31,126,684 Vol.

Oct 31, 2026

VVD + CDA + D66

$921,990 Vol.

98%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

$818,549 Vol.

GL/PvdA + VVD + D66

$946,177 Vol.

<1%

GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA

$566,242 Vol.

<1%

Other

$936,133 Vol.

<1%

CDA + D66

$359,481 Vol.

<1%

No Coalition by October 31

$540,085 Vol.

<1%

PVV + JA21

$72,042 Vol.

<1%

PVV + VVD + JA21

$205,329 Vol.

<1%

PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66

$720,786 Vol.

<1%

PVV + VVD

$2,546,194 Vol.

<1%

PVV + CDA

$1,860,576 Vol.

<1%

PVV + VVD + D66

$777,720 Vol.

<1%

PVV + CDA + JA21

$1,883,804 Vol.

<1%

PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21

$1,111,896 Vol.

<1%

PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

$666,213 Vol.

<1%

PVV + VVD + CDA

$460,169 Vol.

<1%

PVV + CDA + D66

$52,887 Vol.

<1%

PVV + VVD + CDA + D66

$1,177,442 Vol.

<1%

VVD + JA21

$226,074 Vol.

<1%

VVD + D66

$204,125 Vol.

<1%

GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA

$300,588 Vol.

<1%

PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66

$5,793,170 Vol.

<1%

GL/PvdA + D66

$34,658 Vol.

<1%

VVD + CDA + JA21

$241,157 Vol.

<1%

VVD + CDA

$3,880,772 Vol.

<1%

GL/PvdA + VVD

$181,223 Vol.

<1%

PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA

$2,633,953 Vol.

<1%

GL/PvdA + CDA

$611,253 Vol.

<1%

GL/PvdA

$394,955 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$31,126,684

End Date

Oct 31, 2026

Created At

Oct 15, 2025, 1:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

99%

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

98%

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

21%

Beware of external links.