Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Name: Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
Start: 2024-10-18T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2024-10-18T12:00:00.000Z

Harris by 1.5-1.9 100.0%

Trump lead <1%

Harris by 1-1.4 <1%

Harris by 2-2.4 <1%

$1,364,020 Vol.

Oct 18, 2024

Trump lead
$223,270 Vol.
No

Harris by 0-0.4
$84,566 Vol.
No

Harris by 0.5-0.9
$153,777 Vol.
No

Harris by 1-1.4
$188,144 Vol.
No

Harris by 1.5-1.9
$152,298 Vol.
Yes

Harris by 2-2.4
$185,998 Vol.
No

Harris by 2.5-2.9
$80,360 Vol.
No

Harris by 3-3.4
$90,945 Vol.
No

Harris by 3.5+
$204,662 Vol.
No

Rules

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of October 18, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 18, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 18, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 1.5-1.9 100.0%

Trump lead <1%

Harris by 1-1.4 <1%

Harris by 2-2.4 <1%

$1,364,020 Vol.

Oct 18, 2024

Trump lead

$223,270 Vol.

Harris by 0-0.4

$84,566 Vol.

Harris by 0.5-0.9

$153,777 Vol.

Harris by 1-1.4

$188,144 Vol.

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$152,298 Vol.

Yes

Harris by 2-2.4

$185,998 Vol.

Harris by 2.5-2.9

$80,360 Vol.

Harris by 3-3.4

$90,945 Vol.

Harris by 3.5+

$204,662 Vol.

About

Volume

$1,364,020

End Date

Oct 18, 2024

Created At

Oct 7, 2024, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

65%

Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?

34%

Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?

48%

Beware of external links.