No release by February 28 45%
February 18 12.4%
February 17 4.3%
February 11 3.5%
$130,628 Vol.
$130,628 Vol.
February 5
$40,064 Vol.
<1%
February 5
$40,064 Vol.
<1%
February 6
$15,941 Vol.
1%
February 6
$15,941 Vol.
1%
February 7
$3,553 Vol.
<1%
February 7
$3,553 Vol.
<1%
February 8
$3,850 Vol.
<1%
February 8
$3,850 Vol.
<1%
February 9
$7,848 Vol.
2%
February 9
$7,848 Vol.
2%
February 10
$5,259 Vol.
2%
February 10
$5,259 Vol.
2%
February 11
$4,535 Vol.
4%
February 11
$4,535 Vol.
4%
February 12
$4,777 Vol.
3%
February 12
$4,777 Vol.
3%
February 13
$3,871 Vol.
1%
February 13
$3,871 Vol.
1%
February 14
$2,803 Vol.
1%
February 14
$2,803 Vol.
1%
February 15
$950 Vol.
10%
February 15
$950 Vol.
10%
February 16
$964 Vol.
3%
February 16
$964 Vol.
3%
February 17
$1,042 Vol.
4%
February 17
$1,042 Vol.
4%
February 18
$1,144 Vol.
12%
February 18
$1,144 Vol.
12%
February 19
$1,123 Vol.
2%
February 19
$1,123 Vol.
2%
February 20
$861 Vol.
2%
February 20
$861 Vol.
2%
February 21
$909 Vol.
1%
February 21
$909 Vol.
1%
February 22
$685 Vol.
1%
February 22
$685 Vol.
1%
February 23
$940 Vol.
3%
February 23
$940 Vol.
3%
February 24
$1,014 Vol.
2%
February 24
$1,014 Vol.
2%
February 25
$1,119 Vol.
3%
February 25
$1,119 Vol.
3%
February 26
$1,354 Vol.
3%
February 26
$1,354 Vol.
3%
February 27
$931 Vol.
1%
February 27
$931 Vol.
1%
February 28
$1,149 Vol.
1%
February 28
$1,149 Vol.
1%
No release by February 28
$12,563 Vol.
45%
No release by February 28
$12,563 Vol.
45%
Rules
This market will resolve to "No release by February 28" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is not made available to the general public by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Anthropic's Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g., Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Feb 4, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...No release by February 28 45%
February 18 12.4%
February 17 4.3%
February 11 3.5%
$130,628 Vol.
$130,628 Vol.
February 5
<1%
February 6
1%
February 7
<1%
February 8
<1%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
4%
February 12
3%
February 13
1%
February 14
1%
February 15
10%
February 16
3%
February 17
4%
February 18
12%
February 19
2%
February 20
2%
February 21
1%
February 22
1%
February 23
3%
February 24
2%
February 25
3%
February 26
3%
February 27
1%
February 28
1%
No release by February 28
45%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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