Technology

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

500B–600B

<500B

500B–600B

$1m Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

January 31

<1%

February 28

January 31

<1%

February 28

$583k Vol.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

81%

>$1.2T

67%

>$1T

81%

>$1.2T

67%

$287k Vol.

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$STAR

32%

16%

$STAR

32%

16%

$1m Vol.

NASA Artemis II

February 7

32%

February 28

72%

February 7

32%

February 28

72%

$10k Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in January?

<1%

$97k Vol.

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley

68%

Goldman Sachs

16%

Morgan Stanley

68%

Goldman Sachs

16%

$292k Vol.

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

chance

$48k Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

50%

chance

$137k Vol.

Daily

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

No IPO before 2028

<1.0T

20%

No IPO before 2028

<1.0T

20%

NEW

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

chance

NEW

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

chance

$453k Vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

25%

chance

$71k Vol.

Daily

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

16%

5-6

30%

16%

5-6

30%

$76k Vol.

Daily

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

44%

chance

NEW

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

March 31

June 30

25%

March 31

June 30

25%

NEW

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...? card icon

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by January 31, 2026?

chance

NEW

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

chance

NEW

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

<100

100-119

<100

100-119

NEW

SpaceX Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

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