Elon Musk Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Technology

Technology

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? card icon

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

5%

chance

$2m Vol.

Grok 4.20 released on...? card icon

Grok 4.20 released on...?

January 27

<1%

January 28

1%

January 27

<1%

January 28

1%

$735k Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap card icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

1%

500B–600B

1%

<500B

1%

500B–600B

1%

$1m Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 card icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

January 31

<1%

February 28

3%

January 31

<1%

February 28

3%

$582k Vol.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? card icon

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

81%

>$1.2T

67%

>$1T

81%

>$1.2T

67%

$287k Vol.

What will SpaceX's public ticker be? card icon

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$STAR

32%

$X

16%

$STAR

32%

$X

16%

$1m Vol.

Grok 4.20 released by...? card icon

Grok 4.20 released by...?

January 31

7%

February 28

81%

January 31

7%

February 28

81%

$525k Vol.

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? card icon

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

53%

chance

$242k Vol.

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31? card icon

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?

<620b

9%

620-630b

2%

<620b

9%

620-630b

2%

$18k Vol.

Monthly
How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026? card icon

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

<350k

53%

350k–375k

25%

<350k

53%

350k–375k

25%

$203k Vol.

Daily
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5

16%

5-6

30%

<5

16%

5-6

30%

$76k Vol.

Daily
Grok 5 released by...? card icon

Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

12%

chance

$69k Vol.