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Fed
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$36m Vol.
$3m today
$598k Liq.
125
Ends in about 1 year
74%
Kevin Hassett
Fed decision in January?
$5m Vol.
$2m today
$1m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 2 months
82%
No change
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$7m Vol.
$203k today
$202k Liq.
79
Ends in 20 days
75%
No announcement by December 31
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$71.5k today
$629k Liq.
11
21%
3 (75 bps)
Fed decision in March?
$304k Vol.
$63.7k today
$290k Liq.
418
Ends in 3 months
61%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$159k Liq.
420
1%
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$210k Vol.
$58.8k Liq.
1
51%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$479k Vol.
$31.1k Liq.
15
Cut–Cut–Pause
Fed decision in April?
$345k Vol.
$340k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
56%
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$1m Vol.
$31.8k Liq.
5
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
$298k Vol.
$41.1k Liq.
50
2%
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$314k Vol.
$35.8k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
98%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?
$10m Vol.
$23.3k Liq.
1,094
50%
February 28, 2026
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$1.3k Vol.
$3.2k Liq.
June 30, 2026
Jerome Powell in jail in 2025
$20.8k Vol.
$7.7k Liq.
3
<1%
Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?
$36.3k Vol.
$2.1k Liq.
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$3.0k Vol.
$42.4k Liq.
↓ 3.5%
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?
$21.8k Vol.
$16.5k Liq.
2
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$167 Vol.
$11.4k Liq.
Ends in 12 months
11%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$203 Vol.
$4.1k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
52%
4.3%
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