Fed Rates Markets | Polymarket

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Fed Rates

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

57%

Kevin Hassett

$42m Vol.

$5m today

$1m Liq.

145

Ends in about 1 year

Fed decision in January?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in January?

77%

No change

$10m Vol.

$3m today

$2m Liq.

1,369

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Fed Rates

Trump

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

90%

No announcement by December 31

$7m Vol.

$109k today

$292k Liq.

83

Ends in 18 days

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Fed Rates

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

1%

4.6%

$5m Vol.

$75.5k today

$259k Liq.

167

Ends in 18 days

Fed decision in March?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in March?

59%

No change

$381k Vol.

$58.4k today

$286k Liq.

418

Ends in 3 months

ECB rate cut in 2025?

Fed Rates

Finance

ECB rate cut in 2025?

1%

$257k Vol.

$45.2k Liq.

3

Ends in 18 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Fed Rates

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

21%

3 (75 bps)

$914k Vol.

$652k Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 year

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?

Fed Rates

Politics

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?

6%

3.9%

$896k Vol.

$116k Liq.

17

Ends in 18 days

Fed decision in April?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in April?

63%

No change

$414k Vol.

$313k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Fed Rates

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

1%

$12m Vol.

$165k Liq.

420

Ends in 18 days

Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

Fed Rates

Politics

Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

99%

No announcement by December 31

$360k Vol.

$42.1k Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

76%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$484k Vol.

$27.5k Liq.

15

Ends in about 2 months

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Fed Rates

Business

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

<1%

$1m Vol.

$38.0k Liq.

5

Ends in 18 days

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

54%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$213k Vol.

$66.5k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed Rates

Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

11%

$2.0k Vol.

$20.7k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Fed Rates

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

85%

↓ 3.25%

$10.7k Vol.

$41.5k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 year

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Fed Rates

Finance

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

98%

$36.6k Vol.

$10.9k Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Fed Rates

Politics

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

95%

3.9%

$1.5k Vol.

$21.0k Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed Decision in June?

43%

No change

$1.0k Vol.

$48.0k Liq.

Ends in 6 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Fed Rates

Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

38%

3

$237 Vol.

$3.6k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months