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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$13,246,733 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$13,246,733
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$13,246,733 Vol.

January 31

$8,118,592 Vol.

<1%

March 31

$2,227,889 Vol.

5%

December 31

$135,919 Vol.

12%

About

Volume
$13,246,733
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ET

Beware of external links.