Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Netanyahu visit Egypt in 2024?

<1% chance

$30,258 Vol.

Rules

If Benjamin Netanyahu visits Egypt between December 19 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Egypt. Whether or not Netanyahu enters Egyptian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Netanyahu, Israel, or Egypt, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$30,258
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Created At
Dec 20, 2024, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
If Benjamin Netanyahu visits Egypt between December 19 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Egypt. Whether or not Netanyahu enters Egyptian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Netanyahu, Israel, or Egypt, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Netanyahu visit Egypt in 2024?

<1% chance

$30,258 Vol.

About

If Benjamin Netanyahu visits Egypt between December 19 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Egypt. Whether or not Netanyahu enters Egyptian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Netanyahu, Israel, or Egypt, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$30,258
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Created At
Dec 20, 2024, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
If Benjamin Netanyahu visits Egypt between December 19 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Egypt. Whether or not Netanyahu enters Egyptian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Netanyahu, Israel, or Egypt, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.