Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

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Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?

<1% chance

$1,573,239 Vol.

Rules

If Greta Thunberg visits the Gaza Strip between June 3, and June 13, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Greta Thunberg physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Greta Thunberg enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones, will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,573,239
End Date
Jun 13, 2025
Created At
Jun 3, 2025, 5:49 PM ET
If Greta Thunberg visits the Gaza Strip between June 3, and June 13, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Greta Thunberg physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Greta Thunberg enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones, will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?

<1% chance

$1,573,239 Vol.

About

If Greta Thunberg visits the Gaza Strip between June 3, and June 13, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Greta Thunberg physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Greta Thunberg enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones, will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,573,239
End Date
Jun 13, 2025
Created At
Jun 3, 2025, 5:49 PM ET
If Greta Thunberg visits the Gaza Strip between June 3, and June 13, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Greta Thunberg physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Greta Thunberg enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones, will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.