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Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

9% chance

$13,485 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,485
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

9% chance

$13,485 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,485
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Beware of external links.