Who will gain more in polls after the debate?
Kamala
$176,127 Vol.
$176,127 Vol.
Sep 17, 2024
Rules
This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024.
The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.
The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.
If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024.
The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.
The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.
If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.
The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.
If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Created At: Sep 3, 2024, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$176,127End Date
Sep 17, 2024Created At
Sep 3, 2024, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Kamala
No dispute
Final outcome: Kamala
Who will gain more in polls after the debate?
Kamala
$176,127 Vol.
$176,127 Vol.
Sep 17, 2024
About
This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024.
The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.
The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.
If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024.
The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.
The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.
If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.
The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.
If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Volume
$176,127End Date
Sep 17, 2024Created At
Sep 3, 2024, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Kamala
No dispute
Final outcome: Kamala
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