Market icon

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Plaid Cymru 68%

Reform UK 23%

Welsh Labour 8.1%

Welsh Liberal Democrats 4.2%

NEW

Rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Wales on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Welsh Parliament (Senedd) in this election.

If voting in the Welsh parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the Senedd Commission of Wales (https://senedd.wales/).
Volume
$2,824
End Date
May 7, 2026
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Wales on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Welsh Parliament (Senedd) in this election. If voting in the Welsh parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the Senedd Commission of Wales (https://senedd.wales/).

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Plaid Cymru 68%

Reform UK 23%

Welsh Labour 8.1%

Welsh Liberal Democrats 4.2%

NEW

Welsh Labour

$602 Vol.

8%

Plaid Cymru

$681 Vol.

68%

Welsh Conservatives

$413 Vol.

3%

Reform UK

$403 Vol.

23%

Welsh Liberal Democrats

$374 Vol.

4%

Welsh Green Party

$351 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$2,824
End Date
May 7, 2026
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Beware of external links.