Market icon

Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack?

>99% chance

$349,785 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the March 22 attack at Crocus City Hall is officially attributed to a Ukrainian group by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

‘Ukrainian group’ will be considered any group which primarily consists of Ukrainians, or is otherwise affiliated with the government of Ukraine.

This market may resolve once it is definitively determined whether or not the attack was attributed to a Ukrainian group.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian and Ukrainian governments and security services. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$349,785
End Date
Mar 31, 2024
Created At
Mar 22, 2024, 5:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the March 22 attack at Crocus City Hall is officially attributed to a Ukrainian group by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. ‘Ukrainian group’ will be considered any group which primarily consists of Ukrainians, or is otherwise affiliated with the government of Ukraine. This market may resolve once it is definitively determined whether or not the attack was attributed to a Ukrainian group. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian and Ukrainian governments and security services. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack?

>99% chance

$349,785 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the March 22 attack at Crocus City Hall is officially attributed to a Ukrainian group by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

‘Ukrainian group’ will be considered any group which primarily consists of Ukrainians, or is otherwise affiliated with the government of Ukraine.

This market may resolve once it is definitively determined whether or not the attack was attributed to a Ukrainian group.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian and Ukrainian governments and security services. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$349,785
Created At
Mar 22, 2024, 5:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the March 22 attack at Crocus City Hall is officially attributed to a Ukrainian group by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. ‘Ukrainian group’ will be considered any group which primarily consists of Ukrainians, or is otherwise affiliated with the government of Ukraine. This market may resolve once it is definitively determined whether or not the attack was attributed to a Ukrainian group. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian and Ukrainian governments and security services. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.