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Trump opens Arctic Wildlife Refuge for drilling in first 100 days?

>99% chance

$16,383 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or otherwise directs a federal agency to allow for the drilling of oil in Arctic National Wildlife Refuge by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Trump administration has opened the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for the drilling of oil will qualify.
Volume
$16,383
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Created At
Jan 7, 2025, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or otherwise directs a federal agency to allow for the drilling of oil in Arctic National Wildlife Refuge by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Trump administration has opened the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for the drilling of oil will qualify.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Trump opens Arctic Wildlife Refuge for drilling in first 100 days?

>99% chance

$16,383 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or otherwise directs a federal agency to allow for the drilling of oil in Arctic National Wildlife Refuge by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Trump administration has opened the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for the drilling of oil will qualify.
Volume
$16,383
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Created At
Jan 7, 2025, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or otherwise directs a federal agency to allow for the drilling of oil in Arctic National Wildlife Refuge by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Trump administration has opened the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for the drilling of oil will qualify.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.