Market icon

Trump approval rating on March 21?

47.5-47.9 100.0%

<46 <1%

46.0-46.4 <1%

46.5-46.9 <1%

$162,075 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 21, 2025.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$162,075
End Date
Mar 21, 2025
Created At
Mar 17, 2025, 2:40 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Trump approval rating on March 21?

47.5-47.9 100.0%

<46 <1%

46.0-46.4 <1%

46.5-46.9 <1%

$162,075 Vol.

<46

$4,897 Vol.

No

46.0-46.4

$6,831 Vol.

No

46.5-46.9

$7,482 Vol.

No

47.0-47.4

$8,164 Vol.

No

47.5-47.9

$11,512 Vol.

Yes

48.0-48.4

$116,761 Vol.

No

48.5+

$6,427 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$162,075
End Date
Mar 21, 2025
Created At
Mar 17, 2025, 2:40 PM ET

Beware of external links.