How long will the Government Shutdown last?
5 days
NEW
$1,260,256 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
1+ day
$348,032 Vol.
51%
1+ day
$348,032 Vol.
51%
3+ days
$147,222 Vol.
37%
3+ days
$147,222 Vol.
37%
7+ days
$202,888 Vol.
15%
7+ days
$202,888 Vol.
15%
14+ days
$221,413 Vol.
8%
14+ days
$221,413 Vol.
8%
30+ days
$200,325 Vol.
4%
30+ days
$200,325 Vol.
4%
60+ days
$140,436 Vol.
2%
60+ days
$140,436 Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
if no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
if no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
if no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,260,256End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...How long will the Government Shutdown last?
5 days
$1,260,256 Vol.
1+ day
$348,032 Vol.
51%
3+ days
$147,222 Vol.
37%
7+ days
$202,888 Vol.
15%
14+ days
$221,413 Vol.
8%
30+ days
$200,325 Vol.
4%
60+ days
$140,436 Vol.
2%
About
Volume
$1,260,256End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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