Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31?

>99% chance

$851 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahmoud Abbas remains in power as the President of the State of Palestine and the Palestinian National Authority through 11:59 PM ET on January 31, 2024. "In power" is defined as Abbas still officially holding the office of the President of Palestine, as confirmed by reliable sources such as verified news outlets or official Palestinian government statements. If Abbas is no longer holding the office for any reason, including death, resignation, or removal, by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If Abbas departs from office before the expiry date, this market should resolve immediately.
Volume
$851
End Date
Jan 31, 2024
Created At
Dec 26, 2023, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31?

>99% chance

$851 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahmoud Abbas remains in power as the President of the State of Palestine and the Palestinian National Authority through 11:59 PM ET on January 31, 2024. "In power" is defined as Abbas still officially holding the office of the President of Palestine, as confirmed by reliable sources such as verified news outlets or official Palestinian government statements. If Abbas is no longer holding the office for any reason, including death, resignation, or removal, by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If Abbas departs from office before the expiry date, this market should resolve immediately.
Volume
$851
End Date
Jan 31, 2024
Created At
Dec 26, 2023, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Trump's new travel ban on Palestinians removed by January 31?

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Beware of external links.