Polymarket - Trump won, now what?
Trump won, now what?
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
13%chance
1%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
4%chance
1.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
24%chance
0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.2%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
0.3%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
70%chance
22%
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
2%chance
0.4%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
3%chance
3.4%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2%chance
0.9%
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
2%chance
1.6%
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
8%chance
1.5%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
5%chance
0.5%
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
0%chance
0%
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
3%chance
0.8%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
5%chance
1.5%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
96%chance
0.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
2%chance
0.8%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
3%chance
0.7%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
1%chance
0.2%
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?
30%chance
5%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
5%chance
3%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
6%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
93%chance
4%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
2%chance
0%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
1%chance
0%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
13%chance
1%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
4%chance
1.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
24%chance
0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.2%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
0.3%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
70%chance
22%
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
2%chance
0.4%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
3%chance
3.4%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2%chance
0.9%
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
2%chance
1.6%
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
8%chance
1.5%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
5%chance
0.5%
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
0%chance
0%
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
3%chance
0.8%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
5%chance
1.5%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
96%chance
0.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
2%chance
0.8%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
3%chance
0.7%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
1%chance
0.2%
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?
30%chance
5%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
5%chance
3%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
6%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
93%chance
4%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
2%chance
0%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
1%chance
0%
