Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 34.1%

Kevin Warsh 33%

Christopher Waller 16.7%

Kevin Hassett 7.5%

$280,570,801 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder
$9,691,116 Vol.
34%

Kevin Warsh
$10,458,670 Vol.
33%

Christopher Waller
$7,890,463 Vol.
17%

Kevin Hassett
$15,364,477 Vol.
8%

Scott Bessent
$9,635,105 Vol.
4%

Judy Shelton
$9,481,500 Vol.
3%

Stephen Miran
$6,828,090 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$7,115,550 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$5,454,680 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,457,459 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$15,574,617 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$6,931,707 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,411,635 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,331,965 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,921,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,062,281 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,321,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,381,738 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$4,030,383 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,371,245 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,571,628 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,918,112 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,858,631 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,525,469 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,978,633 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 34.1%

Kevin Warsh 33%

Christopher Waller 16.7%

Kevin Hassett 7.5%

$280,570,801 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder

$9,691,116 Vol.

34%

Kevin Warsh

$10,458,670 Vol.

33%

Christopher Waller

$7,890,463 Vol.

17%

Kevin Hassett

$15,364,477 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$9,635,105 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$9,481,500 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$6,828,090 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$7,115,550 Vol.

David Malpass

$5,454,680 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,457,459 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$15,574,617 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$6,931,707 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,411,635 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,331,965 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,921,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,062,281 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,321,107 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,381,738 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,030,383 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,371,245 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,571,628 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,918,112 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,858,631 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,525,469 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,978,633 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$280,570,801

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

88%

Will 52 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

38%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

98%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder
$9,691,116 Vol.
34%

Kevin Warsh
$10,458,670 Vol.
33%

Christopher Waller
$7,890,463 Vol.
17%

Kevin Hassett
$15,364,477 Vol.
8%

Scott Bessent
$9,635,105 Vol.
4%

Judy Shelton
$9,481,500 Vol.
3%

Stephen Miran
$6,828,090 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$7,115,550 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$5,454,680 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,457,459 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$15,574,617 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$6,931,707 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,411,635 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,331,965 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,921,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,062,281 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,321,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,381,738 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$4,030,383 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,371,245 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,571,628 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,918,112 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,858,631 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,525,469 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,978,633 Vol.
<1%

Market Context