Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$41,485,587 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 36%

Christopher Waller 4.5%

Scott Bessent 2.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,485,587
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$41,485,587 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 36%

Christopher Waller 4.5%

Scott Bessent 2.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,484,407 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$861,062 Vol.

36%

Christopher Waller

$1,026,360 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$851,214 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$719,742 Vol.

2%

Rick Rieder

$687,772 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$997,464 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$992,381 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$661,564 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$606,748 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,628,197 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$639,391 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$520,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,388,635 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,931,223 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$580,640 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,069,079 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,310,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$265,734 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,410,943 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$7,161,989 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$113,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,357,584 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$468,643 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$41,485,587
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.