Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?
$381,667 Vol.
Norway
$37,543 Vol.
1%
Norway
$37,543 Vol.
1%
United Kingdom
$33,089 Vol.
1%
United Kingdom
$33,089 Vol.
1%
Finland
$53,760 Vol.
1%
Finland
$53,760 Vol.
1%
Germany
$39,852 Vol.
<1%
Germany
$39,852 Vol.
<1%
Denmark
$110,086 Vol.
<1%
Denmark
$110,086 Vol.
<1%
Sweden
$26,784 Vol.
<1%
Sweden
$26,784 Vol.
<1%
France
$52,272 Vol.
<1%
France
$52,272 Vol.
<1%
Netherlands
$28,282 Vol.
<1%
Netherlands
$28,282 Vol.
<1%
Rules
On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The United Kingdom, The Netherlands, and Finland, which would begin on February 1 and would remain in effect until a deal is struck for the US to purchase Greenland (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115911344443637897).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect for any amount of time by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have occurred without being further delayed or suspended.
A new general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a new policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect.
Only new tariffs specifically targeting the listed country or a specific set of countries including the listed country will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S. from any country) will not count toward this market's resolution.
An increase in the rate of pre-existing general tariffs on imports into the US from the listed country will count.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The United Kingdom, The Netherlands, and Finland, which would begin on February 1 and would remain in effect until a deal is struck for the US to purchase Greenland (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115911344443637897).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect for any amount of time by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have occurred without being further delayed or suspended.
A new general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a new policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect.
Only new tariffs specifically targeting the listed country or a specific set of countries including the listed country will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S. from any country) will not count toward this market's resolution.
An increase in the rate of pre-existing general tariffs on imports into the US from the listed country will count.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect for any amount of time by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have occurred without being further delayed or suspended.
A new general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a new policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect.
Only new tariffs specifically targeting the listed country or a specific set of countries including the listed country will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S. from any country) will not count toward this market's resolution.
An increase in the rate of pre-existing general tariffs on imports into the US from the listed country will count.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.
Created At: Jan 17, 2026, 8:41 PM ET
Volume
$381,667End Date
Feb 1, 2026Created At
Jan 17, 2026, 8:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?
$381,667 Vol.
Norway
$37,543 Vol.
1%
United Kingdom
$33,089 Vol.
1%
Finland
$53,760 Vol.
1%
Germany
$39,852 Vol.
<1%
Denmark
$110,086 Vol.
<1%
Sweden
$26,784 Vol.
<1%
France
$52,272 Vol.
<1%
Netherlands
$28,282 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$381,667End Date
Feb 1, 2026Created At
Jan 17, 2026, 8:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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