Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

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Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$24,734 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$24,734
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

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Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$24,734 Vol.

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North Korea

$766 Vol.

3%

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Cuba

$509 Vol.

8%

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Saudi Arabia

$1,127 Vol.

12%

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Lebanon

$2,557 Vol.

6%

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Afghanistan

$51 Vol.

7%

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Iraq

$120 Vol.

8%

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Pakistan

$143 Vol.

7%

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Syria

$1,014 Vol.

16%

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Venezuela

$10,382 Vol.

18%

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Tunisia

$352 Vol.

7%

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Kuwait

$766 Vol.

5%

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Qatar

$676 Vol.

8%

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Indonesia

$5,916 Vol.

5%

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Malaysia

$252 Vol.

11%

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Bangladesh

$105 Vol.

24%

About

Volume
$24,734
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Beware of external links.