Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?
$646,960 Vol.
$646,960 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined cap weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet Class A and C), Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 index cap weighting formula, falls below 30% on any trading day (using market close prices) by the last day of trading in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the cap weighting formula for the S&P 500.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined cap weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet Class A and C), Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 index cap weighting formula, falls below 30% on any trading day (using market close prices) by the last day of trading in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the cap weighting formula for the S&P 500.
The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the cap weighting formula for the S&P 500.
Created At: Jan 7, 2025, 3:11 PM ET
Volume
$646,960End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 7, 2025, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?
$646,960 Vol.
$646,960 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined cap weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet Class A and C), Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 index cap weighting formula, falls below 30% on any trading day (using market close prices) by the last day of trading in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the cap weighting formula for the S&P 500.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined cap weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet Class A and C), Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 index cap weighting formula, falls below 30% on any trading day (using market close prices) by the last day of trading in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the cap weighting formula for the S&P 500.
The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the cap weighting formula for the S&P 500.
Volume
$646,960End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 7, 2025, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
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