Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15?

>99% chance

$16,517 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for >1,000 Palestinian refugees by November 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,517
End Date
Nov 15, 2023
Created At
Nov 1, 2023, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15?

>99% chance

$16,517 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for >1,000 Palestinian refugees by November 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,517
End Date
Nov 15, 2023
Created At
Nov 1, 2023, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.