Market icon

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Matt Gress 37.4%

Kari Lake 31.6%

Mark Brnovich 8.8%

Todd Graham 8.1%

NEW

Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$871
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Created At
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Matt Gress 37.4%

Kari Lake 31.6%

Mark Brnovich 8.8%

Todd Graham 8.1%

NEW

Matt Gress

$71 Vol.

37%

Kari Lake

$88 Vol.

32%

Mark Brnovich

$63 Vol.

9%

Todd Graham

$66 Vol.

8%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

$143 Vol.

3%

Joseph Chaplik

$231 Vol.

32%

Gina Swoboda

$117 Vol.

43%

Jason Duey

$93 Vol.

43%

About

Volume
$871
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Created At
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Beware of external links.