OpenAI Markets | Polymarket

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 OpenAI polymarkets

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

OpenAI

AI

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

88%

December 11

$1m Vol.

$728k today

$126k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

OpenAI

AI

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

98%

December 31

$2m Vol.

$469k today

$51.3k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

GPT ads by...?

GPT ads by...?

34%

March 31

$496k Vol.

$37.1k Liq.

108

Ends in 4 months

Which company has second best AI model end of December?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has second best AI model end of December?

50%

Google

$683k Vol.

$85.4k Liq.

51

Ends in 20 days

Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

OpenAI

AI

Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

74%

OpenAI

$3m Vol.

$113k Liq.

108

Ends in 20 days

Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

72%

Google

$2m Vol.

$89.8k Liq.

19

Ends in 20 days

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

OpenAI

AI

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

24%

$366k Vol.

$5.9k Liq.

69

Ends in 20 days

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

71%

Google

$57.7k Vol.

$101k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

88%

December 31, 2026

$111k Vol.

$13.5k Liq.

31

Ends in 20 days

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

OpenAI

AI

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

9%

$308k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

125

Ends in 20 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

57%

Google

$592k Vol.

$162k Liq.

61

Ends in 7 months

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI

Finance

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

64%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$726k Vol.

$120k Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

37%

OpenAI

$23.5k Vol.

$12.7k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

OpenAI

AI

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

64%

Google

$208k Vol.

$36.9k Liq.

15

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

57%

Google

$31.0k Vol.

$71.3k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Atlas global browser market share on December 31?

OpenAI

AI

Atlas global browser market share on December 31?

2%

1%+

$56.1k Vol.

$14.1k Liq.

4

Ends in 20 days

Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

OpenAI

AI

Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

45%

Anthropic

$2m Vol.

$66.5k Liq.

41

Ends in 20 days

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?

OpenAI

Business

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?

2%

$330k Vol.

$22.7k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

52%

Google

$2.7k Vol.

$126k Liq.

19

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the #2 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

44%

xAI

$7.4k Vol.

$10.7k Liq.

Ends in 20 days