Trump prison time in NY case before election?
No prison time 100.0%
12-23 months <1%
36-47 months <1%
1-11 months <1%
$10,118,204 Vol.
$10,118,204 Vol.
Jul 11, 2024
No prison time
$1,514,093 Vol.
Yes
No prison time
$1,514,093 Vol.
Yes
1-11 months
$1,025,535 Vol.
No
1-11 months
$1,025,535 Vol.
No
12-23 months
$3,461,448 Vol.
No
12-23 months
$3,461,448 Vol.
No
24-35 months
$2,663,690 Vol.
No
24-35 months
$2,663,690 Vol.
No
36-47 months
$768,705 Vol.
No
36-47 months
$768,705 Vol.
No
48+ months
$684,733 Vol.
No
48+ months
$684,733 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: May 31, 2024, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$10,118,204End Date
Nov 5, 2024Created At
May 31, 2024, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trump prison time in NY case before election?
No prison time 100.0%
12-23 months <1%
36-47 months <1%
1-11 months <1%
$10,118,204 Vol.
$10,118,204 Vol.
Jul 11, 2024
No prison time
$1,514,093 Vol.
Yes
1-11 months
$1,025,535 Vol.
No
12-23 months
$3,461,448 Vol.
No
24-35 months
$2,663,690 Vol.
No
36-47 months
$768,705 Vol.
No
48+ months
$684,733 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$10,118,204End Date
Nov 5, 2024Created At
May 31, 2024, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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