Trump Margin of Victory in Iowa Caucus?
>40% 100.0%
35-40% 100.0%
30-35% 100.0%
25-30% 100.0%
$436,645 Vol.
$436,645 Vol.
Jan 15, 2024
>40%
$84,430 Vol.
No
>40%
$84,430 Vol.
No
35-40%
$84,533 Vol.
No
35-40%
$84,533 Vol.
No
30-35%
$74,965 Vol.
No
30-35%
$74,965 Vol.
No
25-30%
$58,546 Vol.
Yes
25-30%
$58,546 Vol.
Yes
20-25%
$55,431 Vol.
No
20-25%
$55,431 Vol.
No
0-20%
$58,934 Vol.
No
0-20%
$58,934 Vol.
No
Trump Loses
$19,806 Vol.
No
Trump Loses
$19,806 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses by greater than 40% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Created At: Jan 11, 2024, 2:17 PM ET
Volume
$436,645End Date
Jan 15, 24Created At
Jan 11, 2024, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trump Margin of Victory in Iowa Caucus?
>40% 100.0%
35-40% 100.0%
30-35% 100.0%
25-30% 100.0%
$436,645 Vol.
$436,645 Vol.
Jan 15, 2024
>40%
$84,430 Vol.
No
35-40%
$84,533 Vol.
No
30-35%
$74,965 Vol.
No
25-30%
$58,546 Vol.
Yes
20-25%
$55,431 Vol.
No
0-20%
$58,934 Vol.
No
Trump Loses
$19,806 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$436,645End Date
Jan 15, 24Created At
Jan 11, 2024, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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