Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
$111,434 Vol.
$111,434 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Created At: Jan 30, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$111,434End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 30, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
$111,434 Vol.
$111,434 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
About
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volume
$111,434End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 30, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.