January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.05–1.09ºC 44%
1.10–1.14ºC 39%
1.15–1.19ºC 9%
1.00–1.04ºC 3.6%
$478,675 Vol.
$478,675 Vol.
Feb 10, 2026
<1.00ºC
$43,523 Vol.
3%
<1.00ºC
$43,523 Vol.
3%
1.00–1.04ºC
$94,766 Vol.
4%
1.00–1.04ºC
$94,766 Vol.
4%
1.05–1.09ºC
$72,883 Vol.
44%
1.05–1.09ºC
$72,883 Vol.
44%
1.10–1.14ºC
$48,892 Vol.
39%
1.10–1.14ºC
$48,892 Vol.
39%
1.15–1.19ºC
$66,880 Vol.
9%
1.15–1.19ºC
$66,880 Vol.
9%
>1.19ºC
$151,732 Vol.
3%
>1.19ºC
$151,732 Vol.
3%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Created At: Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$478,675End Date
Feb 10, 2026Created At
Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.05–1.09ºC 44%
1.10–1.14ºC 39%
1.15–1.19ºC 9%
1.00–1.04ºC 3.6%
$478,675 Vol.
$478,675 Vol.
Feb 10, 2026
<1.00ºC
$43,523 Vol.
3%
1.00–1.04ºC
$94,766 Vol.
4%
1.05–1.09ºC
$72,883 Vol.
44%
1.10–1.14ºC
$48,892 Vol.
39%
1.15–1.19ºC
$66,880 Vol.
9%
>1.19ºC
$151,732 Vol.
3%
About
Volume
$478,675End Date
Feb 10, 2026Created At
Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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