Market icon

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

>99% chance

$71,412 Vol.

Rules

On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.

Volume
$71,412
End Date
Nov 30, 2023
Created At
Nov 16, 2023, 12:13 PM ET
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

>99% chance

$71,412 Vol.

About

On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.

Volume
$71,412
End Date
Nov 30, 2023
Created At
Nov 16, 2023, 12:13 PM ET
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.