Market icon

How many Federal employees will accept buyout?

50-100k 100.0%

<50k <1%

100-150k <1%

150-200k <1%

$2,505,173 Vol.

Rules

The Trump administration announced Tuesday that it is offering deferred resignations to all federal employees who opt to leave their jobs by February 6 (see: https://www.opm.gov/fork)

This market will resolve according to the number of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the number is reported as a percentage of the Federal workforce, with no reporting of the actual number by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will use the most exact unrounded percentage reported out of 3,010,000 to calculate the number of deferred resignations (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001).

If the Trump Administration does not publish the number or percentage of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,505,173
End Date
Feb 28, 2025
Created At
Jan 29, 2025, 11:25 AM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How many Federal employees will accept buyout?

50-100k 100.0%

<50k <1%

100-150k <1%

150-200k <1%

$2,505,173 Vol.

<50k

$211,908 Vol.

No

50-100k

$69,282 Vol.

Yes

100-150k

$56,860 Vol.

No

150-200k

$181,553 Vol.

No

200-250k

$231,744 Vol.

No

250-300k

$310,764 Vol.

No

300-350k

$167,875 Vol.

No

350-400k

$484,367 Vol.

No

400-450k

$186,089 Vol.

No

450-500k

$238,294 Vol.

No

500k+

$366,437 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$2,505,173
End Date
Feb 28, 2025
Created At
Jan 29, 2025, 11:25 AM ET

Beware of external links.