How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
11–13 32%
14–16 23%
17–19 17%
8–10 15%
$368,950 Vol.
$368,950 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$82,949 Vol.
1%
<5
$82,949 Vol.
1%
5–7
$35,483 Vol.
3%
5–7
$35,483 Vol.
3%
8–10
$30,145 Vol.
15%
8–10
$30,145 Vol.
15%
11–13
$83,901 Vol.
32%
11–13
$83,901 Vol.
32%
14–16
$25,016 Vol.
23%
14–16
$25,016 Vol.
23%
17–19
$83,817 Vol.
17%
17–19
$83,817 Vol.
17%
20+
$27,638 Vol.
8%
20+
$27,638 Vol.
8%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Created At: Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET
Volume
$368,950End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
11–13 32%
14–16 23%
17–19 17%
8–10 15%
$368,950 Vol.
$368,950 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$82,949 Vol.
1%
5–7
$35,483 Vol.
3%
8–10
$30,145 Vol.
15%
11–13
$83,901 Vol.
32%
14–16
$25,016 Vol.
23%
17–19
$83,817 Vol.
17%
20+
$27,638 Vol.
8%
About
Volume
$368,950End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.