How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
8+ 53%
7 18%
6 12%
5 8.8%
$849,281 Vol.
$849,281 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
2
$40,179 Vol.
2%
2
$40,179 Vol.
2%
3
$78,317 Vol.
4%
3
$78,317 Vol.
4%
4
$57,626 Vol.
6%
4
$57,626 Vol.
6%
5
$30,785 Vol.
9%
5
$30,785 Vol.
9%
6
$28,985 Vol.
12%
6
$28,985 Vol.
12%
7
$140,207 Vol.
18%
7
$140,207 Vol.
18%
8+
$336,519 Vol.
53%
8+
$336,519 Vol.
53%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Created At: Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$849,281End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
8+ 53%
7 18%
6 12%
5 8.8%
$849,281 Vol.
$849,281 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
2
$40,179 Vol.
2%
3
$78,317 Vol.
4%
4
$57,626 Vol.
6%
5
$30,785 Vol.
9%
6
$28,985 Vol.
12%
7
$140,207 Vol.
18%
8+
$336,519 Vol.
53%
About
Volume
$849,281End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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