Market icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

8+ 54%

7 17%

6 11%

3 7.9%

$809,576 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$809,576
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

8+ 54%

7 17%

6 11%

3 7.9%

$809,576 Vol.

2

$39,531 Vol.

2%

3

$78,103 Vol.

8%

4

$57,451 Vol.

6%

5

$30,571 Vol.

6%

6

$22,235 Vol.

11%

7

$130,945 Vol.

17%

8+

$314,075 Vol.

54%

About

Volume
$809,576
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET

Beware of external links.