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 Science polymarkets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

1%

$7m Vol.

$117k today

$114k Liq.

331

Ends in 20 days

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

88%

2000

$1m Vol.

$76.7k today

$4.0k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

43%

2

$488k Vol.

$45.4k Liq.

10

Ends in 20 days

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

4%

$62.6k Vol.

$70.5k Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Science

Culture

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

1%

$715k Vol.

$29.3k Liq.

48

Ends in 20 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

12%

$172k Vol.

$58.9k Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 year

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

83%

8+

$336k Vol.

$115k Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

4%

$310k Vol.

$7.9k Liq.

16

Ends in 20 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

36%

2

$700k Vol.

$54.3k Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 year

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

12%

$12.2k Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 year

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Science

Weather

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

1%

$2m Vol.

$39.0k Liq.

59

Ends in 20 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

43%

<1550

$32.3k Vol.

$3.4k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

New pandemic in 2025?

Science

Health

New pandemic in 2025?

1%

$253k Vol.

$30.1k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Science

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

99%

$61.8k Vol.

$8.8k Liq.

20

Ends in 20 days

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

2%

$102k Vol.

$3.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 20 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Science

SpaceX

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

92%

$19.4k Vol.

$992 Liq.

4

Ends in 20 days

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Science

Culture

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

97%

$120k Vol.

$7.0k Liq.

3

Ends in 20 days

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

77%

4th or lower

$2.7k Vol.

$1.7k Liq.

Ends in 30 days

New pandemic in 2026?

Science

World

New pandemic in 2026?

11%

$15.4k Vol.

$33.5k Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Science

Pandemics

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

4%

$29.5k Vol.

$5.4k Liq.

Ends in 20 days