Market icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

$502,069 Vol.

2 47%

3 37%

4 16.4%

5 2.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 13, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$502,069
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Oct 13, 2025, 3:58 PM UTC
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$502,069 Vol.

Market icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

2 47%

3 37%

4 16.4%

5 2.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

2

$80,622 Vol.

47%

3

$55,423 Vol.

37%

4

$40,504 Vol.

16%

5

$27,307 Vol.

2%

>5

$45,684 Vol.

2%

About

Volume
$502,069
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Oct 13, 2025, 3:58 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.