Name: Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?
Start: 2024-01-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2024-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remains free from government custody and active through January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.3 model is made available to the general public by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-5.3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

GPT-5.3 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.3 (e.g., ChatGPT-5.3o,  would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5.2, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. Products labeled as GPT-6 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?

Market Context

Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?

Rules

Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?

Market Context

Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?

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