2026 Grammy Awards Predictions
Real-time predictions and odds for every Grammy category from The World's Largest Prediction Market™
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Album of the Year
Summary: Album of the Year is the Grammys' crown jewel, honoring an entire body of work rather than just one song. Presented since 1959, it goes to the artist, producers, songwriters, engineers, and mixers who contributed significantly. It's not about sales or charts; it's pure artistic excellence across genres. Think Taylor Swift's "Midnights," Lauryn Hill's "The Miseducation of Lauryn Hill," or Stevie Wonder's classics; winners often define eras. Albums need at least five tracks and 15 minutes, or 30 minutes total, to qualify. It's a team effort award, celebrating the magic of a cohesive project that pushes music forward. On Polymarket, odds for Album of the Year fluctuate as buzz builds for Grammy nominations like "Debí Tirar Más Fotos" by Bad Bunny and "GNX" by Kendrick Lamar.Summary: Album of the Year is the Grammys' crown jewel, honoring an entire body of work rather than just one song. Presented since 1959, it goes to the artist, producers, songwriters, engineers, and mixers who contributed significantly. It's not about sales or charts; it's pure artistic excellence across genres. Think Taylor Swift's "Midnights," Lauryn Hill's "The Miseducation of Lauryn Hill," or Stevie Wonder's classics; winners often define eras. Albums need at least five tracks and 15 minutes, or 30 minutes total, to qualify. It's a team effort award, celebrating the magic of a cohesive project that pushes music forward. On Polymarket, odds for Album of the Year fluctuate as buzz builds for Grammy nominations like "Debí Tirar Más Fotos" by Bad Bunny and "GNX" by Kendrick Lamar.
Record of the Year
Summary: Record of the Year spotlights a single standout track, rewarding the performance and production magic behind it. Unlike Album of the Year, this one's for one song only, going to the artist, producers, engineers, and mixers who nailed the recording. It's been around since the first Grammys in 1959, focusing on technical brilliance and overall vibe, not lyrics alone. Classics like Billie Eilish's "What Was I Made For?" Whitney Houston's "I Will Always Love You," or Michael Jackson's "Beat It" have won, blending artistry with studio wizardry. No sales required, just excellence. It differs from Song of the Year by honoring the full sound, not just composition. Polymarket lets you bet on Grammy nominations and predictions for Record of the Year like "DTMF" by Bad Bunny, "Luther" by Kendrick Lamar & SZA, and "Manchild" by Sabrina Carpenter. Will a viral hit or emotional ballad edge out the competition?Summary: Record of the Year spotlights a single standout track, rewarding the performance and production magic behind it. Unlike Album of the Year, this one's for one song only, going to the artist, producers, engineers, and mixers who nailed the recording. It's been around since the first Grammys in 1959, focusing on technical brilliance and overall vibe, not lyrics alone. Classics like Billie Eilish's "What Was I Made For?" Whitney Houston's "I Will Always Love You," or Michael Jackson's "Beat It" have won, blending artistry with studio wizardry. No sales required, just excellence. It differs from Song of the Year by honoring the full sound, not just composition. Polymarket lets you bet on Grammy nominations and predictions for Record of the Year like "DTMF" by Bad Bunny, "Luther" by Kendrick Lamar & SZA, and "Manchild" by Sabrina Carpenter. Will a viral hit or emotional ballad edge out the competition?
Song of the Year
Summary: Song of the Year is all about the craft of writing: melody, lyrics, and that hook you can't forget. Awarded since 1959, it goes straight to the songwriter(s), not the performer or producers. It's for a single track that captures the year's spirit, regardless of genre. Think Adele's "Hello," Beyoncé's "Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It)," "Royals" by Lorde, or Ed Sheeran's "Thinking Out Loud." These songs often become timeless anthems. Songs must be new or newly prominent, with both words and music. It stands apart from Record of the Year, which celebrates the recording itself. On Polymarket, track shifting odds on Grammy nominations for Song of the Year like "Golden" by Ejae & Mark Sonnenblick and songwriters Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami and "Abracadabra" by Lady Gaga, Henry Walter, & Andrew Watt. It's a nod to the unsung heroes behind the hits.Summary: Song of the Year is all about the craft of writing: melody, lyrics, and that hook you can't forget. Awarded since 1959, it goes straight to the songwriter(s), not the performer or producers. It's for a single track that captures the year's spirit, regardless of genre. Think Adele's "Hello," Beyoncé's "Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It)," "Royals" by Lorde, or Ed Sheeran's "Thinking Out Loud." These songs often become timeless anthems. Songs must be new or newly prominent, with both words and music. It stands apart from Record of the Year, which celebrates the recording itself. On Polymarket, track shifting odds on Grammy nominations for Song of the Year like "Golden" by Ejae & Mark Sonnenblick and songwriters Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami and "Abracadabra" by Lady Gaga, Henry Walter, & Andrew Watt. It's a nod to the unsung heroes behind the hits.
Best New Artist
Summary: Best New Artist shines on rising stars who've broken through in the eligibility year. Since 1959, it's for performers who've released their first major work and had a cultural impact, not just one hit. Winners like Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan, or Sam Smith often launch massive careers. Eligibility: first-time noms only for this category, and a breakthrough that reshapes the scene. Groups qualify too, like The Beatles once did. It's about fresh talent shaking up music. Polymarket odds on Grammy nominees for Best New Artist category reflect hype and momentum on emerging voices like Olivia Dean and Leon Thomas.Summary: Best New Artist shines on rising stars who've broken through in the eligibility year. Since 1959, it's for performers who've released their first major work and had a cultural impact, not just one hit. Winners like Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan, or Sam Smith often launch massive careers. Eligibility: first-time noms only for this category, and a breakthrough that reshapes the scene. Groups qualify too, like The Beatles once did. It's about fresh talent shaking up music. Polymarket odds on Grammy nominees for Best New Artist category reflect hype and momentum on emerging voices like Olivia Dean and Leon Thomas.
Predict Grammy Award Winners
Trade on Record of the Year, Album of the Year, and more.
Grammy 2026 Odds
Album of the Year Winner
Live Market OddsBad Bunny – DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS
55%
Kendrick Lamar – GNX
22%
Lady Gaga – Mayhem
17%
Song of the Year Winner
Live Market OddsEjae and Mark Sonnenblick – Golden [From "KPop Demon Hunters"]
71%
Kendrick Lamar and SZA – luther
11%
Lady Gaga – Abracadabra
5%
Best New Artist Winner
Live Market OddsOlivia Dean
70%
Leon Thomas
21%
Alex Warren
5%
Record of the Year Winner
Live Market OddsKendrick Lamar and SZA – luther
52%
Rosé and Bruno Mars – APT.
19%
Lady Gaga – Abracadabra
14%
Best Rap Album Winner
Live Market OddsKendrick Lamar – GNX
72%
Clipse Pusha T Malice – Let God Sort Em Out
26%
Tyler the Creator – Chromakopia
2%
Who will perform at the 2026 Grammys?
Live Market OddsAlex Warren
99%
Sombr
99%
Olivia Dean
99%
Producer of the Year Winner
Live Market OddsCirkut
70%
Sounwave
16%
Dijon
9%
Best Country Song Winner
Live Market OddsMiranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton – A Song To Sing
33%
Lainey Wilson – Somewhere Over Laredo
32%
Shaboozey – Good News
20%
Best R&B Song Winner
Live Market OddsKehlani – Folded
79%
Leon Thomas – YES IT IS
9%
Chris Brown Featuring Bryson Tiller – It Depends
8%
Best Pop Duo/Group Performance Winner
Live Market OddsHuntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami – Golden
48%
Rosé & Bruno Mars – APT.
39%
Cynthia Erivo & Ariana Grande – Defying Gravity
6%
Grammy 2026 Odds
| Category | Top Contender & Nominees | Live Market Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Album of the Year Winner | Bad Bunny – DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS | 55% |
| Kendrick Lamar – GNX | 22% | |
| Lady Gaga – Mayhem | 17% | |
| Song of the Year Winner | Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick – Golden [From "KPop Demon Hunters"] | 71% |
| Kendrick Lamar and SZA – luther | 11% | |
| Lady Gaga – Abracadabra | 5% | |
| Best New Artist Winner | Olivia Dean | 70% |
| Leon Thomas | 21% | |
| Alex Warren | 5% | |
| Record of the Year Winner | Kendrick Lamar and SZA – luther | 52% |
| Rosé and Bruno Mars – APT. | 19% | |
| Lady Gaga – Abracadabra | 14% | |
| Best Rap Album Winner | Kendrick Lamar – GNX | 72% |
| Clipse Pusha T Malice – Let God Sort Em Out | 26% | |
| Tyler the Creator – Chromakopia | 2% | |
| Who will perform at the 2026 Grammys? | Alex Warren | 99% |
| Sombr | 99% | |
| Olivia Dean | 99% | |
| Producer of the Year Winner | Cirkut | 70% |
| Sounwave | 16% | |
| Dijon | 9% | |
| Best Country Song Winner | Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton – A Song To Sing | 33% |
| Lainey Wilson – Somewhere Over Laredo | 32% | |
| Shaboozey – Good News | 20% | |
| Best R&B Song Winner | Kehlani – Folded | 79% |
| Leon Thomas – YES IT IS | 9% | |
| Chris Brown Featuring Bryson Tiller – It Depends | 8% | |
| Best Pop Duo/Group Performance Winner | Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami – Golden | 48% |
| Rosé & Bruno Mars – APT. | 39% | |
| Cynthia Erivo & Ariana Grande – Defying Gravity | 6% | |
About the Grammys
The Grammy Awards, often just called the Grammys, are music's biggest night and will be held on Sunday, February 2, 2025 in Los Angeles, California at the Crypto.com Arena and shown on CBS and Paramount+. Presented by the Recording Academy since 1959, they honor outstanding achievements in the industry, celebrating artists, songwriters, producers, and engineers across genres like pop, rock, hip-hop, country, and classical. From heartfelt ballads to groundbreaking albums, the Grammys spotlight the year's top talent in over 90 categories, including fan favorites like Album of the Year and Best New Artist. It's a celebration of creativity that unites music lovers worldwide. More information about the music industry's biggest event, including its voting members and ballots, can be found on grammy.com.