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Will 51+ senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

<1% chance

$13,825 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 51 or more U.S. Senator vote in favor of the next reconciliation bill in the Senate by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first final passage vote (not a motion to proceed or a cloture vote), regardless of if the bill is passed.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,825
End Date
Jul 31, 2025
Created At
Jun 30, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 51 or more U.S. Senator vote in favor of the next reconciliation bill in the Senate by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first final passage vote (not a motion to proceed or a cloture vote), regardless of if the bill is passed. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will 51+ senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

<1% chance

$13,825 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 51 or more U.S. Senator vote in favor of the next reconciliation bill in the Senate by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first final passage vote (not a motion to proceed or a cloture vote), regardless of if the bill is passed.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,825
End Date
Jul 31, 2025
Created At
Jun 30, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 51 or more U.S. Senator vote in favor of the next reconciliation bill in the Senate by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first final passage vote (not a motion to proceed or a cloture vote), regardless of if the bill is passed. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.