Market icon

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

$71,297 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-over-90-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volume
$71,297
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 5, 2025, 4:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-over-90-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

$71,297 Vol.

↑ 90%

$3,414 Vol.

4%

↑ 80%

$18,771 Vol.

2%

↑ 75%

$19,441 Vol.

7%

↑ 70%

$2,302 Vol.

23%

↓ 60%

$3,419 Vol.

37%

↓ 55%

$15,619 Vol.

12%

↓ 50%

$5,574 Vol.

5%

↓ 40%

$2,757 Vol.

5%

About

Volume
$71,297
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 5, 2025, 4:00 PM ET

Beware of external links.