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Oscars 2026: Best Director Nominations

$140,725 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$140,725
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:29 PM UTC
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$140,725 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Director Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson

$4,110 Vol.

99%

Chloé Zhao

$11,361 Vol.

92%

Ryan Coogler

$15,059 Vol.

87%

Jafar Panahi

$13,283 Vol.

81%

Joachim Trier

$7,997 Vol.

62%

Guillermo del Toro

$35,825 Vol.

35%

Josh Safdie

$11,240 Vol.

34%

Yorgos Lanthimos

$13,183 Vol.

12%

Park Chan-wook

$10,113 Vol.

8%

Clint Bentley

$967 Vol.

6%

James Cameron

$5,538 Vol.

5%

Zach Cregger

$204 Vol.

3%

Mona Fastvold

$5,330 Vol.

3%

Kathryn Bigelow

$1,171 Vol.

3%

Edward Berger

$102 Vol.

2%

Benny Safdie

$1,921 Vol.

2%

Noah Baumbach

$1,448 Vol.

2%

Jon M. Chu

$1,691 Vol.

2%

Anthony Maras

$183 Vol.

2%

About

Volume
$140,725
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:29 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.