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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$477,680 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$477,680
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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$477,680 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$119,872 Vol.

98%

Hamnet

$6,941 Vol.

97%

Marty Supreme

$10,692 Vol.

96%

Sinners

$3,374 Vol.

94%

Sentimental Value

$6,975 Vol.

92%

Frankenstein

$28,114 Vol.

91%

It Was Just an Accident

$10,496 Vol.

83%

Bugonia

$22,718 Vol.

65%

Train Dreams

$15,371 Vol.

60%

Jay Kelly

$13,344 Vol.

37%

No Other Choice

$20,217 Vol.

29%

Wicked: For Good

$24,220 Vol.

23%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$19,611 Vol.

22%

Nouvelle Vague

$3,575 Vol.

7%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$19,677 Vol.

6%

Weapons

$13,729 Vol.

6%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$2,871 Vol.

6%

Rental Family

$26,073 Vol.

6%

The Life of Chuck

$24,514 Vol.

5%

F1

$8,820 Vol.

5%

Die My Love

$4,390 Vol.

4%

Sorry Baby

$616 Vol.

4%

A House of Dynamite

$14,526 Vol.

4%

After the Hunt

$234 Vol.

4%

Warfare

$345 Vol.

4%

The Lost Bus

$606 Vol.

4%

Novocaine

$542 Vol.

3%

Sound of Falling

$760 Vol.

3%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$5,999 Vol.

3%

Highest 2 Lowest

$3,656 Vol.

2%

Anemone

$21,684 Vol.

2%

The Smashing Machine

$20,873 Vol.

1%

Thunderbolts

$2,245 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$477,680
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.