Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
$598,129 Vol.
$598,129 Vol.
Dec 31, 2023
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Oct 10, 2023, 4:21 PM ET
Volume
$598,129End Date
Dec 31, 2023Created At
Oct 10, 2023, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: No
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
$598,129 Vol.
$598,129 Vol.
Dec 31, 2023
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$598,129End Date
Dec 31, 2023Created At
Oct 10, 2023, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: No
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