December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$26,097 Vol.
1.00–1.04ºC 46%
<1.00ºC 30%
1.05–1.09ºC 14%
1.10–1.14ºC 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<1.00ºC
$3,311 Vol.
30%
<1.00ºC
$3,311 Vol.
30%
1.00–1.04ºC
$1,300 Vol.
46%
1.00–1.04ºC
$1,300 Vol.
46%
1.05–1.09ºC
$816 Vol.
14%
1.05–1.09ºC
$816 Vol.
14%
1.10–1.14ºC
$1,244 Vol.
9%
1.10–1.14ºC
$1,244 Vol.
9%
1.15–1.19ºC
$1,151 Vol.
8%
1.15–1.19ºC
$1,151 Vol.
8%
>1.19ºC
$18,276 Vol.
4%
>1.19ºC
$18,276 Vol.
4%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Created At: Dec 10, 2025, 11:19 PM UTC
Volume
$26,097End Date
Jan 10, 2026Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 11:19 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$26,097 Vol.
December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.00–1.04ºC 46%
<1.00ºC 30%
1.05–1.09ºC 14%
1.10–1.14ºC 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<1.00ºC
$3,311 Vol.
30%
1.00–1.04ºC
$1,300 Vol.
46%
1.05–1.09ºC
$816 Vol.
14%
1.10–1.14ºC
$1,244 Vol.
9%
1.15–1.19ºC
$1,151 Vol.
8%
>1.19ºC
$18,276 Vol.
4%
About
Volume
$26,097End Date
Jan 10, 2026Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 11:19 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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