Caroline Ellison prison time?
24-35 months 99.8%
No Prison Time <1%
1-11 months <1%
12-23 months <1%
$1,014,676 Vol.
$1,014,676 Vol.
Sep 24, 2024
No Prison Time
$371,541 Vol.
No
No Prison Time
$371,541 Vol.
No
1-11 months
$94,750 Vol.
No
1-11 months
$94,750 Vol.
No
12-23 months
$72,184 Vol.
No
12-23 months
$72,184 Vol.
No
24-35 months
$148,394 Vol.
Yes
24-35 months
$148,394 Vol.
Yes
36-47 months
$83,529 Vol.
No
36-47 months
$83,529 Vol.
No
48-59 months
$96,406 Vol.
No
48-59 months
$96,406 Vol.
No
60+ months
$147,872 Vol.
No
60+ months
$147,872 Vol.
No
Rules
Former CEO of Alameda Research Caroline Ellison is scheduled to be sentenced on September 24, 2024 (see https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/09/11/former-ftx-executive-caroline-ellisons-sentencing-hearing-set-for-sept-24/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "United States of America v. Caroline Ellison", by December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former CEO of Alameda Research Caroline Ellison is scheduled to be sentenced on September 24, 2024 (see https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/09/11/former-ftx-executive-caroline-ellisons-sentencing-hearing-set-for-sept-24/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "United States of America v. Caroline Ellison", by December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "United States of America v. Caroline Ellison", by December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Sep 12, 2024, 4:37 PM ET
Volume
$1,014,676End Date
Sep 24, 2024Created At
Sep 12, 2024, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Caroline Ellison prison time?
24-35 months 99.8%
No Prison Time <1%
1-11 months <1%
12-23 months <1%
$1,014,676 Vol.
$1,014,676 Vol.
Sep 24, 2024
No Prison Time
$371,541 Vol.
No
1-11 months
$94,750 Vol.
No
12-23 months
$72,184 Vol.
No
24-35 months
$148,394 Vol.
Yes
36-47 months
$83,529 Vol.
No
48-59 months
$96,406 Vol.
No
60+ months
$147,872 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$1,014,676End Date
Sep 24, 2024Created At
Sep 12, 2024, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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